The call ▼ DOWN
BTC lower in 24h
Made 2026-05-04 14:15 · graded in public
Wrong · score 21%
directionDOWN
confidence66%
falsifies if
resolves24h
grade21%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
Wrong — bitcoin moved +3.1% ($78,892 → $81,302)