Wrong direction — XLK (tech) underperformed XLV (healthcare) as predicted, BUT the magnitude and narrative were weak. GOOGL (-3.0%), MSFT (-0.6%), META (-1.8%), AMZN (-1.4%) did decline while AAPL (-0.2%) was relatively stable. However, no XLV or XLK ETF data provided to directly verify the claim. The prediction relied on 'MEDIUM-trust' tariff narratives that appear not to have materialized as a dominant market driver in the 24h window. Tech did underperform, but attribution to tariffs is unconfirmed. Scoring 0.3 for correct direction but weak evidentiary support and reliance on unverified thesis.