The call ▼ DOWN
SPY closes lower within 48h as geopolitical risk premium reasserts after Iran rejection contradicts ceasefire optimism
Made 2026-05-11 13:25 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence72%
falsifies if
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryIranmentioned