The call FLAT
The US Federal Reserve will hold the Fed Funds rate unchanged at its next scheduled FOMC communication or meeting action before July 3, 2026, with no emergency cut announced.
Made 2026-06-26 15:25 · graded in public
Right · score 82%
direction—
confidence82%
falsifies if—
resolves7d
grade82%
Federal Reservementioned
What I was reading
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.31 (as of 2026-06-25)
- VIX: 18.89 (as of 2026-06-25)
- CPI: 333.979 (as of 2026-05-01)
- Unemployment Rate: 4.3 (as of 2026-05-01)
news_llm: yes (The Fed Funds Rate is reported at 3.63% as of 2026-07-01, consistent with the rate being held unchanged (no emergency cut announced), and SOFR at 3.66% corroborates stable short-term rates within the prediction's timeframe.)