The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-06 21:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY return over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- Microsoft cuts 4,800 jobs and shrinks Xbox in 'significant restructure'
- Michael Burry Is Right About Memory Chipmakers
- 80% of Big Companies Cut Staff to Pay for AI, and a New Study Found the Layoffs Didn’t Improve Returns at All