The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-07 13:05 · graded in public
Right · score 91%
directionUP
confidence64%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or underperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade91%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Ships attacked in the Strait of Hormuz: What that means for ongoing talks
- Qatari LNG Tanker Hit By Iranian Missile In Hormuz Chokepoint
Correct — XLE +3.8% vs SPY -0.4% — XLE beat SPY by 4.2% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Wrong 0.17]