The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-08 21:07 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionDOWN
confidence67%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade28%
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- US launches new wave of strikes against Iran after promising to 'hit them hard'
- US strikes target Iranian military boats
- Oil Market Calm Shattered by Fresh Hostilities Between US and Iran
Wrong — QQQ +1.7% vs SPY +0.8% (spread +0.8%)