The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-10 18:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence59%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Oil Prices Set for Weekly Gain as Hormuz Tensions Escalate
- IEA Warns Escalation In US-Iran Hostilities Could Upend Oil Surplus Forecast
- Trump hints at further Iran negotiations after exchange of fire over Hormuz
- U.S.-Iran fighting appears to pause. And, life inside Israel's military zones in Gaza