META underperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-07-10 22:08 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionDOWN

confidence57%

reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMETA outperforms SPY or matches it over 48h

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

METAprimarySPYvs

What I was reading

EU accuses Meta of failing to tackle mental health risks of ‘addictive design’
META — Insider Trade: Meta Platforms, Inc. filed 4 on 2026-07-08 (FORM 4) — SEC FORM 4 SEC Form 4 FORM 4 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION…
EU threatens Meta with hefty fine over 'addictive design'