The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-13 10:58 · graded in public
Right · score 89%
directionUP
confidence63%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms SPY or moves lower relative to SPY's gain over 24h
resolves24h
grade89%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Iran’s IRGC fires ballistic missiles at US air base in Jordan as crypto markets brace for volatility
- Live Updates: Iran Ramps Up Threats as It Retaliates Against U.S. Strikes
- Oil Prices Surge After Iran and U.S. Trade Strikes
- Oil prices rise as U.S. and Iran fight for control of Strait of Hormuz
Correct — XLE +3.0% vs SPY -0.8% — XLE beat SPY by 3.8%