The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-13 16:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or trails SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Trump: US will ‘take over’ Strait of Hormuz
- Iran war: Trump reinstates US blockade of Strait of Hormuz
- Strait of Hormuz Ship Traffic Falls to Lowest Point in a Month After Strikes