The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-14 13:22 · graded in public
Right · score 76%
directionDOWN
confidence64%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade76%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- US inflation rate eases to 3.5% as gasoline prices fall
- U.S. to reinstate Hormuz blockade. And, states sue over Paramount-Warner deal
- U.S. and Iran Reignite War Over Strait of Hormuz
Correct — XLE -0.4% vs SPY +0.8% — XLE trailed SPY by 1.2%