The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-14 16:22 · graded in public
Wrong · score 25%
directionUP
confidence66%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade25%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Wrong — QQQ -1.5% vs SPY +0.2% — QQQ trailed SPY by 1.7%