The call ▼ DOWN
MSFT underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-14 18:22 · graded in public
Wrong · score 12%
directionDOWN
confidence62%
reasoning50% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT outperforms or matches QQQ over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade12%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
Wrong — MSFT +3.8% vs QQQ -2.2% — MSFT beat QQQ by 6.0%
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →