The call ▼ DOWN
COIN underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-14 21:23 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryCOINvs
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