The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-14 22:23 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence62%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →