The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-15 01:23 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Trump retreat over Hormuz tolls suggests he is struggling to end Iran war
- Strait of Hormuz 'faultline' exposes weakness of the US-Iran deal