The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-15 05:24 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms or matches SPY over the next 24h
resolves24h
grade28%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Wrong — QQQ -0.3% vs SPY +0.4% — QQQ trailed SPY by 0.7%