The call ▼ DOWN
XLE closes flat-to-down over 48h; energy bid from blockade headlines is partially exhausted
Made 2026-07-15 12:24 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence59%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE closes +2% or higher over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
XLEprimary
What I was reading