The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-15 15:24 · graded in public
Right · score 98%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms QQQ or the two move in tandem (within ±0.5%) over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade98%
QQQprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Iran threatens to block more trade routes as US launches fresh strikes
- Strait of Hormuz 'faultline' exposes weakness of the US-Iran deal
- Oil Prices Tick Higher as U.S. Reinstates Iran Blockade
Correct — XLE +2.8% vs QQQ -2.8% — XLE beat QQQ by 5.6%