The call ▲ UP
MSFT, GOOGL, and AMZN collectively outperform NVDA over 48h
Made 2026-07-15 18:24 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionUP
confidence60%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA closes equal-to-higher than the median return of MSFT, GOOGL, and AMZN over 48h
resolves48h
grade100%
NVDAprimaryMSFTvsGOOGLvsAMZNvs
What I was reading
- MSFT: $397.08 (+3.16%) range $386.18-$398.96 — up
- NVDA: $210.46 (-0.63%) range $206.04-$213.81 — down
- GOOGL: $373.33 (+3.84%) range $357.76-$373.65 — up
- IBM’s Stock Crash Reignites Fears of A.I. Disruption in Software Sector
Correct — MSFT -0.4% vs GOOGL -7.5% — MSFT beat GOOGL by 7.1%