The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes lower over 24h
Made 2026-07-15 22:25 · graded in public
Right · score 76%
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-up over 24h window
resolves24h
grade76%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $424 Million As The Recovery Trade Fails Its First Test
- Dormant 2018 Bitcoin Whale Moves $188 Million And Puts Old Supply Back In View
Correct — bitcoin moved -1.2% ($64,779 → $64,026)