The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-15 23:25 · graded in public
Right · score 88%
directionUP
confidence60%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY performance over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade88%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Oil Steadies Near One-Month High as US Resumes Blockade of Iran
- US Sanctions Iran Oil Tycoon’s Network After Ceasefire Collapses
Correct — XLE +2.1% vs SPY -1.5% — XLE beat SPY by 3.6%