The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-16 12:25 · graded in public
Wrong · score 16%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms SPY or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade16%
SPYprimaryCOINvs
What I was reading
- Crypto markets rise on CPI data, SEC talks with Hyperliquid
- Japan Classifies Bitcoin and Crypto as Financial Instruments in Landmark Vote
Wrong — COIN -6.0% vs SPY -1.5% — COIN trailed SPY by 4.5%