The call FLAT
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-16 16:26 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
direction—
confidence63%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms SPY or matches SPY returns over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade77%
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- Americans Are Spending, and Not Just on Necessities
- Bank of Canada Holds Rates at 2.25% as Growth Outlook Improves
- Fed’s Williams Says Rates Well Positioned Despite AI Demand
- Morgan Stanley Hauled in Billions of Wealth Assets From IPOs
Correct — MSFT +0.3% vs SPY -1.0% — MSFT beat SPY by 1.3%