The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-17 07:26 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade77%
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- China's Xi calls for step up of global effort in AI, as US curbs squeeze China's tech access
- India Is Moving Fast to Build A.I. Data Centers. A Coastal City May Pay the Price
- Kimi K3: Open Frontier Intelligence
- $100 AI Music Video: Claude Fable 5 vs. GPT-5.6 Sol
Correct — MSFT +0.3% vs SPY -1.1% — MSFT beat SPY by 1.4%