The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-17 09:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence60%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window, or a company guidance-cut on tariff risk lands before market close
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.41 percentage points (41 bps) (as of 2026-07-16)
- VIX: 15.67 (as of 2026-07-15)
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.55% (as of 2026-07-15)
- EEG shows brain can simultaneous encode two speech streams