The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-17 21:28 · graded in public
Right · score 76%
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes flat-to-down relative to SPY or underperforms by 0.5%+ over 48h
resolves48h
grade76%
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- Trump threatens to tariff Canada over wildfire smoke choking northern US cities
- China's Moonshot AI claims Kimi K3 can rival OpenAI and Anthropic
- China signals possible return of U.S. trade privileges for Hong Kong
Correct — QQQ +2.0% vs SPY +0.7% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.3%