The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-17 23:28 · graded in public
Wrong · score 26%
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY or matches SPY performance over 48h
resolves48h
grade26%
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- Trump threatens new Canada tariffs over fires sending 'filthy' air into US cities
- China hits out at British Steel nationalisation
- China signals possible return of U.S. trade privileges for Hong Kong
- Dollar steadies but remains on track for a weekly loss
Wrong — QQQ +2.0% vs SPY +0.7% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.3%