The call ▲ UP
BTC closes higher over 24h
Made 2026-07-19 05:37 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat or lower over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade27%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- US and Iran exchange strikes after two US deaths in Jordan attack
- Iran War Live Updates: U.S. Launches Strikes After Iranian Attack Kills 2 American Soldiers
Wrong — bitcoin moved -0.9% ($64,648 → $64,087)