The call ▲ UP
BTC flat-to-up over 24h, holding above current session low on sustained macro risk-on flows; BEAR case: BTC closes lower as delayed liquidations + USD strength materialize post-Asia open
Made 2026-07-19 14:13 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-down over 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading