The call ▲ UP
BTC trades flat-to-up over 24h despite kinetic escalation
Made 2026-07-19 15:12 · graded in public
Right · score 73%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes down more than -1.5% over 24h window
resolves24h
grade73%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- US and Iran trade fire after two US soldiers killed in Jordan
- Iran War Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Edge Closer to Wider War After U.S. Service Members Killed
Correct — bitcoin moved +0.6% ($64,505 → $64,912)