The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ UNDERPERFORMS SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-20 00:13 · graded in public
Wrong · score 26%
directionDOWN
confidence59%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade26%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Wrong — QQQ +2.0% vs SPY +0.7% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.3%