The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-20 02:13 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or beats SPY intraday performance
resolves24h
grade28%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Iran War Live Updates: Another U.S. Service Member Is Killed as War Expands
- Russia Batters Kyiv in One of the Largest Missile Assaults of the War
- US Strikes Iran to ‘Punish’ It for Attack That Killed 2 Troops
- Oil could hit $250 as Iran tensions threaten global recession
Wrong — XLE +0.5% vs SPY -0.2% — XLE beat SPY by 0.6%