The call FLAT
IWM matches SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-20 02:13 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionFLAT
confidence55%
reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM materially outperforms or underperforms SPY by >1%
resolves24h
gradeopen
IWMprimarySPYmentioned
What I was reading
- Trump threatens to increase Canada tariffs over wildfires
- New 6 passenger, 780-mile PHEV from GM has North America written all over it