The call ▲ UP
BTC flat-to-up over 48h in crisis regime
Made 2026-07-20 04:13 · graded in public
Right · score 82%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning58% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes down >1.5% from current price over 48h window, signaling panic absorption failure
resolves48h
grade82%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- Iran War Live Updates: Another U.S. Service Member Is Killed as War Expands
- US Strikes Iran to ‘Punish’ It for Attack That Killed 2 Troops
Correct — bitcoin moved +2.5% ($64,720 → $66,314)