The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-20 22:31 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionDOWN
confidence59%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms or matches SPY total return; alternatively, earnings/guidance updates do not materialize to confirm tariff cost headwind
resolves48h
grade28%
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- Trump imposes 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, citing disputes over cars, alcohol and cheese
- Trump order targets China-linked military mineral supply chains
- Chinese Wuling Bingo could come to North America as an entry-level Chevy EV
Wrong — QQQ +1.3% vs SPY +0.7% — QQQ beat SPY by 0.6%