The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-21 09:32 · graded in public
Right · score 75%
directionUP
confidence60%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms or closes flat-to-down relative to SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade75%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Correct — QQQ +1.9% vs SPY +0.8% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.0%