The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 18:33 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence60%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
IWMprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Carney looking at 'all options' as Trump announces 50% tariffs on Canada
- Trump Escalates Canada Tariffs as Mark Carney Holds Firm