The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 20:10 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms SPY or matches SPY return over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade80%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
NVDAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
Correct — NVDA +0.7% vs SPY -1.4% — NVDA beat SPY by 2.1%