The call ▲ UP
META outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 21:20 · graded in public
Wrong · score 16%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade16%
METAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Will the U.S. and China Build Walls Around A.I.?
- Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and 3.5 Flash Cyber
- Meta's AI models are powering the first wave of Genesis Mission projects
Wrong — META -5.9% vs SPY -1.3% — META trailed SPY by 4.5%