The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-22 14:57 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY return over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
MSFTprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- OpenAI and Hugging Face address security incident during model evaluation
- Kimi K3 Is Competitive with Fable; Kimi K3 and Fable Is SoTA
- Advertise in ChatGPT
- Judge approves $1.5B Anthropic settlement for pirated books used to train Claude