The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-22 17:57 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade28%
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
- MSFT: $387.43 (-2.59%) range $387.15-$401.00 — down
- NVDA: $213.66 (+3.07%) range $204.95-$214.39 — up
- AMZN: $242.72 (-1.95%) range $242.56-$248.45 — down
- META: $625.87 (-2.79%) range $625.55-$649.00 — down
Wrong — NVDA -2.2% vs SPY -1.5% — NVDA trailed SPY by 0.8%