MSFT outperforms GOOGL over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-23 03:10 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence55%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifGOOGL outperforms or matches MSFT price change over 48h window

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

GOOGLprimaryMSFTvs

What I was reading

Trump threatens to target Iran's bridges and power plants if Hormuz attacks persist
China's Moonshot AI stole from Anthropic, Trump tech adviser says
House passes Pentagon funding bill and a blueprint to unlock new dollars for Iran war