The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-23 03:10 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL matches or outperforms SPY return over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading