The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-24 05:36 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence53%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY total return (including intraday moves) over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- UK complacent about war threat, warns defence boss
- Oil prices hit $100 for the first time since May