TSLA outperforms SPY over 48h

directionUP

confidence56%

reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifTSLA underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

What I was reading

GOOGL — Quarterly Report: Alphabet Inc. filed 10-Q on 2026-07-23 (10-Q) — goog-20260630 FALSE 2026 Q2 0001652044 --12-31 P1Y0M00D http://fasb.org/us-gaap/2026#…
TSLA — Quarterly Report: Tesla, Inc. filed 10-Q on 2026-07-23 (10-Q) — tsla-20260630 0001318605 12-31 false 2026 Q2 xbrli:shares iso4217:USD iso4217:USD…
TSLA — Material Event: Tesla, Inc. filed 8-K on 2026-07-22 (8-K) — tsla-20260722 FALSE 0001318605 0001318605 2026-07-22 2026-07-22 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND…
COIN — Material Event: Coinbase Global, Inc. filed 8-K on 2026-07-23 (8-K) — coin-20260722 0001679788 FALSE 0001679788 2026-07-22 2026-07-22 UNITED STATES…