The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-29 21:07 · graded in public
Right · score 74%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or outperforms SPY price return over 48h
resolves48h
grade74%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- First Quantum Minerals Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
- CMA CGM Posts Strong Q2 Earnings as Middle East Disruptions Boost Shipping Rates
- HY Credit Spread: 2.84 percentage points (284 bps) (as of 2026-07-28)
Correct — XLE +1.5% vs SPY +2.4% — XLE trailed SPY by 0.9%