The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-30 00:07 · graded in public
Wrong · score 25%
directionDOWN
confidence50%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade25%
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Interest rates expected to be held again by Bank of England
- Government Borrowing Cost Hits Two-Decade High After Fed Rate Decision
- 4 Takeaways From the Federal Reserve Meeting
Wrong — QQQ +4.0% vs SPY +2.4% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.6%