The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-30 02:07 · graded in public
Wrong · score 25%
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade25%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
Wrong — QQQ +4.0% vs SPY +2.4% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.6%